[theqoo] THE NEW YORK TIMES ELECTION ANALYSIS

Polling averages track the latest trends in the presidential race, using data from national and battleground state polls.

1. National Public Opinion Poll

Harris - 49%

Trump - 48%

Assuming the current polls are accurate (if the lead is within 1%, even a slight advantage results in a win), Trump (287 electoral votes) wins.

If there’s a 'shy Harris' group that isn't reflected in the polls, Harris wins (276 electoral votes).

If there’s a 'shy Trump' group that isn't reflected in the polls, Trump wins (312 electoral votes).

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/us/elections/polls-president.html

original post: here

1. Trump will win

2. There is a f*ck tone of 'shy Trump' groups...

3. The US will be fine but we'll be f*cked

4. Super shyㅜㅜㅜ

5. Trump is winning...

6. I hope Trump loses🙏🏻

7. The US can't be in their right mind

8. I've been living in the heavily Democratic New York area for 13 years, and it's the first time I haven't seen banners supporting the Democratic presidential candidate like this. It seems like the issue isn't Trump, but Harris.

9. Even during the Hilary VS Trump election, they gave us so much hope just to end up like that

10. There's no way that there are more 'shy Harris' than 'shy Trump' so I think that Trump will just winㅠ

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